Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Mon, Jul 20

Season: 578-652 (47.0%) · ROI: -3.2%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Milwaukee Brewers home
vs New York Mets · 11:40 PM
Prob
77.4%
Edge
+9.7%
+8.9% consensus
Odds
-210
Book
Stake
$75.01
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+9.6%
+9.1% consensus
Odds
+129
Book
Stake
$42.75
Milwaukee Brewers home
vs New York Mets · 11:40 PM
Prob
66.7%
Edge
+8.3%
+7.7% consensus
Odds
-140
Book
Stake
$50.02
Chicago Cubs home
vs Detroit Tigers · 12:05 AM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+8.1%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$42.98
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Boston Red Sox · 11:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.8%
Odds
+139
Book
Stake
$16.33
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 2:10 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.3%
+1.6% consensus
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$11.83
New York Yankees home
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 11:05 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.0%
+1.0% consensus
Odds
-110
Book
Stake
$10.39
Texas Rangers home
vs Chicago White Sox · 12:05 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+1.5%
Odds
-165
Book
Stake
$10.04
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Seattle Mariners · 1:40 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+0.8%
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$3.61
Athletics away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 1:40 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+0.8%
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$3.61
Updated 11:20 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice