Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Jul 5

Season: 513-587 (46.6%) · ROI: -3.2%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
San Diego Padres away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 11:20 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+10.1%
+9.6% consensus
Odds
+181
Book
Stake
$39.02
Miami Marlins away
vs Athletics · 8:30 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+7.0%
+6.1% consensus
Odds
+106
Book
Stake
$34.09
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Seattle Mariners · 9:00 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.8%
+5.4% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$31.73
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Kansas City Royals · 7:00 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+6.4%
+5.2% consensus
Odds
-135
Book
Stake
$37.50
Texas Rangers home
vs Detroit Tigers · 7:30 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+5.6%
+5.1% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$27.23
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Houston Astros · 7:30 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.4% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Boston Red Sox away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:30 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+3.0%
+2.1% consensus
Odds
-155
Book
Stake
$19.42
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Cincinnati Reds · 5:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.3%
+1.2% consensus
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$11.83
San Francisco Giants away
vs Colorado Rockies · 8:00 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+0.8%
Odds
-121
Book
Stake
$4.47
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 8:00 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+0.8%
Odds
-121
Book
Stake
$4.47
Updated 3:40 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice