Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Tue, Apr 21

Season: 96-124 (43.6%) · ROI: -1.6%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Washington Nationals home
vs Atlanta Braves · 10:45 PM
Prob
63.0%
Edge
+20.3%
+19.7% consensus
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$88.69
Colorado Rockies home
vs San Diego Padres · 12:40 AM
Prob
59.4%
Edge
+16.3%
+14.9% consensus
Odds
+132
Book
Stake
$71.61
Boston Red Sox home
vs New York Yankees · 10:45 PM
Prob
62.0%
Edge
+7.1%
+6.3% consensus
Odds
-122
Book
Stake
$39.16
New York Mets home
vs Minnesota Twins · 11:10 PM
Prob
67.5%
Edge
+6.8%
+5.9% consensus
Odds
-155
Book
Stake
$43.13
Updated 7:30 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice