Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, May 3

Season: 206-220 (48.4%) · ROI: +1.0%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Athletics · 8:05 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+9.9%
Odds
-117
Book
Stake
$53.78
Chicago White Sox away
vs San Diego Padres · 8:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.6%
+6.4% consensus
Odds
+163
Book
Stake
$30.73
Los Angeles Angels home
vs New York Mets · 8:07 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+7.2%
+6.4% consensus
Odds
+112
Book
Stake
$34.02
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Washington Nationals · 5:35 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+6.9%
+6.0% consensus
Odds
-132
Book
Stake
$40.21
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 5:35 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
+3.4% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
Miami Marlins home
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 5:40 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+3.2%
+2.0% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$14.25
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Chicago Cubs · 6:20 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.9%
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$12.68
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Minnesota Twins · 4:45 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.3%
+1.4% consensus
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$11.83
St. Louis Cardinals home
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 6:15 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+1.9%
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$8.42
Updated 4:40 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice