Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, May 15

Season: 256-295 (46.5%) · ROI: -2.4%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Los Angeles Angels home
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 1:38 AM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+9.0%
+7.9% consensus
Odds
+165
Book
Stake
$35.99
Chicago Cubs away
vs Chicago White Sox · 11:40 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+8.3%
+7.5% consensus
Odds
-125
Book
Stake
$46.54
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.4%
+6.6% consensus
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$34.31
San Diego Padres away
vs Seattle Mariners · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.8%
+6.0% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$31.73
Miami Marlins away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.0%
+4.1% consensus
Odds
+107
Book
Stake
$24.14
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Minnesota Twins · 11:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+4.3%
+3.1% consensus
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$22.24
New York Mets home
vs New York Yankees · 11:15 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+3.6%
+2.8% consensus
Odds
+132
Book
Stake
$15.80
Boston Red Sox away
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:15 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.7%
+1.8% consensus
Odds
+133
Book
Stake
$11.92
Updated 11:25 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice