Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Tue, Jul 21

Season: 584-659 (47.0%) · ROI: -3.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.0%
+6.3% consensus
Odds
+116
Book
Stake
$32.60
Washington Nationals away
vs Colorado Rockies · 12:40 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+3.6%
+3.0% consensus
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$18.91
Kansas City Royals home
vs San Francisco Giants · 11:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.9%
Odds
-106
Book
Stake
$14.95
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 11:07 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+2.7%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$14.47
Chicago Cubs home
vs Detroit Tigers · 12:05 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+0.9%
+0.4% consensus
Odds
-115
Book
Stake
$4.68
Updated 10:25 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice