Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, Apr 17

Season: 84-107 (44.0%) · ROI: -0.9%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Texas Rangers away
vs Seattle Mariners · 1:40 AM
Prob
64.1%
Edge
+17.6%
+16.8% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$82.07
Los Angeles Angels home
vs San Diego Padres · 1:38 AM
Prob
71.6%
Edge
+14.7%
Odds
-132
Book
Stake
$85.28
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 1:40 AM
Prob
58.8%
Edge
+12.9%
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$59.53
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 8:05 PM
Prob
50.0%
Edge
+9.0%
+8.2% consensus
Odds
+144
Book
Stake
$38.11
Boston Red Sox home
vs Detroit Tigers · 8:10 PM
Prob
49.0%
Edge
+8.2%
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$34.74
Colorado Rockies home
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 12:10 AM
Prob
36.9%
Edge
+7.5%
Odds
+240
Book
Stake
$26.59
Updated 3:20 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice