Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Thu, Jul 2

Season: 498-574 (46.5%) · ROI: -3.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Los Angeles Angels away
vs Seattle Mariners · 1:40 AM
Prob
45.0%
Edge
+11.2%
+9.1% consensus
Odds
+196
Book
Stake
$42.35
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Kansas City Royals · 11:40 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+9.7%
+8.9% consensus
Odds
-118
Book
Stake
$52.87
Miami Marlins away
vs Colorado Rockies · 7:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+9.3%
+8.0% consensus
Odds
-120
Book
Stake
$51.06
Pittsburgh Pirates away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 4:35 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.5%
Odds
+109
Book
Stake
$26.14
Atlanta Braves home
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:15 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+1.5%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$8.11
Updated 1:00 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice