Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Tue, Apr 7

Season: 46-52 (46.9%) · ROI: +11.5%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Boston Red Sox · 10:45 PM
Prob
57.0%
Edge
+13.7%
Odds
+136
Book
FanDuel
Stake
$63.41
San Diego Padres away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.6%
Edge
+11.1%
+9.6% consensus
Odds
+135
Book
Pinnacle
Stake
$48.16
Minnesota Twins home
vs Detroit Tigers · 11:40 PM
Prob
48.6%
Edge
+8.4%
+7.3% consensus
Odds
+150
Book
Kalshi
Stake
$35.75
Colorado Rockies home
vs Houston Astros · 12:40 AM
Prob
45.1%
Edge
+7.6%
+6.4% consensus
Odds
+166
Book
Pinnacle
Stake
$30.27
San Francisco Giants home
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 1:45 AM
Prob
50.1%
Edge
+7.4%
+6.9% consensus
Odds
+138
Book
Kalshi
Stake
$34.89
Updated 4:00 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice