Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Jul 26

Season: 614-683 (47.3%) · ROI: -2.7%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Boston Red Sox · 5:35 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+8.5%
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$38.33
New York Yankees away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 11:20 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.9%
+7.4% consensus
Odds
+165
Book
Stake
$31.74
Cincinnati Reds away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 6:15 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.0%
Odds
+116
Book
Stake
$32.60
Kansas City Royals away
vs Detroit Tigers · 5:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.9%
Odds
+158
Book
Stake
$28.09
Chicago Cubs away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 5:35 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.1%
+5.5% consensus
Odds
+112
Book
Stake
$29.01
San Diego Padres away
vs Miami Marlins · 5:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.0%
+4.5% consensus
Odds
+107
Book
Stake
$24.14
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs New York Mets · 5:40 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+4.6%
+3.8% consensus
Odds
-145
Book
Stake
$28.46
Texas Rangers home
vs Seattle Mariners · 6:35 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+3.4%
+1.9% consensus
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$17.24
San Francisco Giants home
vs Los Angeles Angels · 8:05 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+3.4%
+2.7% consensus
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$17.24
Athletics away
vs Minnesota Twins · 6:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.9%
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$12.68
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Washington Nationals · 5:35 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+2.1%
Odds
-115
Book
Stake
$11.13
Houston Astros away
vs Chicago White Sox · 6:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.1%
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$10.66
Updated 4:45 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice