Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, Jul 11

Season: 547-620 (46.9%) · ROI: -3.1%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Washington Nationals home
vs New York Yankees · 8:05 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+9.7%
+9.0% consensus
Odds
+170
Book
Stake
$38.37
Boston Red Sox away
vs New York Mets · 8:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+8.9%
+7.9% consensus
Odds
+125
Book
Stake
$39.85
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Miami Marlins · 8:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.8%
+3.1% consensus
Odds
+139
Book
Stake
$16.33
Houston Astros away
vs Texas Rangers · 11:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.5%
Odds
+101
Book
Stake
$17.66
St. Louis Cardinals home
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:15 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+3.1%
+2.3% consensus
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$16.09
Colorado Rockies away
vs San Francisco Giants · 8:05 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.2%
+1.6% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$9.56
Seattle Mariners away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 8:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.1%
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$10.66
San Diego Padres home
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 12:40 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+1.5%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$8.11
Updated 9:20 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice