Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Thu, Jul 16

Season: 560-628 (47.1%) · ROI: -2.8%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Philadelphia Phillies home
vs New York Mets · 10:10 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+6.0%
Odds
-122
Book
Stake
$33.22
Detroit Tigers away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:38 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+4.6%
+3.9% consensus
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$23.36
Washington Nationals away
vs Athletics · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.8%
+1.7% consensus
Odds
-102
Book
Stake
$14.17
Miami Marlins away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 11:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.5%
+1.4% consensus
Odds
+132
Book
Stake
$11.15
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs New York Yankees · 11:05 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+2.3%
Odds
-114
Book
Stake
$12.25
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Colorado Rockies · 12:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.3%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$11.83
San Francisco Giants away
vs Seattle Mariners · 2:10 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+1.8%
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$7.93
San Diego Padres away
vs Kansas City Royals · 12:10 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+1.4%
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$7.16
Updated 12:30 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice