Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Tue, Apr 7

Season: 46-52 (46.9%) · ROI: +11.5%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Boston Red Sox · 10:45 PM
Prob
54.1%
Edge
+11.8%
+10.6% consensus
Odds
+142
Book
Pinnacle
Stake
$54.61
Minnesota Twins home
vs Detroit Tigers · 11:40 PM
Prob
50.4%
Edge
+10.4%
+9.4% consensus
Odds
+156
Book
Kalshi
Stake
$46.59
San Diego Padres away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.4%
Edge
+10.3%
+9.4% consensus
Odds
+133
Book
Kalshi
Stake
$45.77
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs New York Mets · 11:10 PM
Prob
51.1%
Edge
+8.0%
Odds
+138
Book
Kalshi
Stake
$39.21
Kansas City Royals away
vs Cleveland Guardians · 10:10 PM
Prob
51.3%
Edge
+7.7%
+7.1% consensus
Odds
+160
Book
DraftKings
Stake
$52.28
Washington Nationals home
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 10:45 PM
Prob
60.7%
Edge
+7.6%
+7.1% consensus
Odds
-110
Book
FanDuel
Stake
$43.62
Updated 7:50 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice