Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, Apr 15

Season: 73-93 (44.0%) · ROI: +0.5%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 4:35 PM
Prob
54.5%
Edge
+12.9%
+11.8% consensus
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$55.13
Miami Marlins away
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:15 PM
Prob
51.5%
Edge
+9.7%
Odds
+139
Book
Stake
$41.65
New York Mets away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
44.8%
Edge
+9.2%
Odds
+181
Book
Stake
$35.87
Texas Rangers away
vs Athletics · 1:40 AM
Prob
64.5%
Edge
+9.0%
+8.3% consensus
Odds
-125
Book
Stake
$50.54
Cincinnati Reds home
vs San Francisco Giants · 10:40 PM
Prob
56.4%
Edge
+6.3%
+5.7% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$31.75
Updated 4:15 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice