Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Tue, Jun 30

Season: 484-560 (46.4%) · ROI: -3.5%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Washington Nationals away
vs Boston Red Sox · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.8%
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$35.96
Toronto Blue Jays home
vs New York Mets · 11:07 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+6.4%
+5.2% consensus
Odds
-120
Book
Stake
$35.17
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 11:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+5.6%
Odds
+150
Book
Stake
$23.50
Los Angeles Angels away
vs Seattle Mariners · 1:40 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+5.6%
Odds
+150
Book
Stake
$23.50
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs Athletics · 1:40 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+4.6%
+3.8% consensus
Odds
-145
Book
Stake
$28.46
New York Yankees home
vs Detroit Tigers · 11:05 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+3.5%
+2.9% consensus
Odds
-135
Book
Stake
$20.52
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:15 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.9%
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$12.68
Updated 5:00 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice