Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Jun 21

Season: 437-512 (46.0%) · ROI: -4.2%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
New York Mets away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 11:20 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.9%
+6.2% consensus
Odds
+158
Book
Stake
$28.09
Kansas City Royals away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.8%
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$20.38
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:38 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+3.0%
+2.3% consensus
Odds
-155
Book
Stake
$19.42
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Chicago White Sox · 11:40 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+2.1%
Odds
-115
Book
Stake
$11.13
Updated 11:05 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice