Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Jul 5

Season: 513-587 (46.6%) · ROI: -3.2%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Pittsburgh Pirates away
vs Washington Nationals · 5:00 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+8.3%
Odds
+122
Book
Stake
$37.55
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Kansas City Royals · 7:00 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+7.3%
+6.3% consensus
Odds
-130
Book
Stake
$42.02
Miami Marlins away
vs Athletics · 8:30 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+6.8%
+5.8% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$33.09
Texas Rangers home
vs Detroit Tigers · 7:30 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+6.5%
+5.8% consensus
Odds
+109
Book
Stake
$31.22
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Houston Astros · 7:30 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+5.6%
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$27.80
San Diego Padres away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 11:20 PM
Prob
39.1%
Edge
+5.2%
+4.6% consensus
Odds
+195
Book
Stake
$19.52
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Seattle Mariners · 9:00 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.5%
Odds
+101
Book
Stake
$17.66
Boston Red Sox away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:30 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+3.2%
+2.5% consensus
Odds
-154
Book
Stake
$20.32
Updated 8:25 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice