Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, Jul 25

Season: 607-678 (47.2%) · ROI: -2.9%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Washington Nationals · 8:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+9.4%
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$42.04
Chicago Cubs away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.2%
+6.3% consensus
Odds
+117
Book
Stake
$33.46
Kansas City Royals away
vs Detroit Tigers · 5:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.9%
+6.0% consensus
Odds
+158
Book
Stake
$28.09
Philadelphia Phillies home
vs New York Yankees · 10:05 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+6.1%
+5.4% consensus
Odds
+107
Book
Stake
$29.26
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Boston Red Sox · 8:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+5.6%
+4.0% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$27.80
Atlanta Braves away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 11:05 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+5.1%
+4.5% consensus
Odds
-102
Book
Stake
$25.58
Texas Rangers home
vs Seattle Mariners · 11:15 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+3.4%
+2.9% consensus
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$17.24
St. Louis Cardinals home
vs Cincinnati Reds · 11:15 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+0.4%
+0.9% consensus
Odds
-117
Book
Stake
$2.40
Updated 1:30 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice