Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Thu, Jul 2

Season: 499-575 (46.5%) · ROI: -3.4%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Atlanta Braves home
vs New York Mets · 11:15 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+10.1%
+8.7% consensus
Odds
-116
Book
Stake
$54.41
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Kansas City Royals · 11:40 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+9.3%
+8.5% consensus
Odds
-120
Book
Stake
$51.06
Minnesota Twins away
vs New York Yankees · 11:05 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.9%
+6.1% consensus
Odds
+158
Book
Stake
$28.09
Cincinnati Reds home
vs Baltimore Orioles · 11:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+5.6%
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$27.23
Miami Marlins away
vs Athletics · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.5%
Odds
+109
Book
Stake
$26.14
Texas Rangers home
vs Detroit Tigers · 12:05 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+3.1%
+2.4% consensus
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$16.09
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 1:40 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+2.1%
+1.4% consensus
Odds
-161
Book
Stake
$13.99
Updated 11:50 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice