Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, Jul 25

Season: 614-683 (47.3%) · ROI: -2.7%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
San Francisco Giants home
vs Los Angeles Angels · 8:05 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+9.9%
Odds
-117
Book
Stake
$53.51
Colorado Rockies away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 6:10 PM
Prob
36.2%
Edge
+8.4%
+7.1% consensus
Odds
+260
Book
Stake
$29.22
Kansas City Royals away
vs Detroit Tigers · 5:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.9%
Odds
+158
Book
Stake
$28.09
New York Yankees away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 11:20 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.8%
+3.8% consensus
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$20.38
Chicago Cubs away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 5:35 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
Atlanta Braves away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 5:35 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+4.3%
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$22.24
Chicago White Sox home
vs Houston Astros · 6:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.4%
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$12.67
Texas Rangers home
vs Seattle Mariners · 6:35 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.4%
+1.9% consensus
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$12.67
Updated 2:35 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice