Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, Jul 22

Season: 587-667 (46.8%) · ROI: -3.8%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Pittsburgh Pirates away
vs New York Yankees · 11:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+12.5%
+6.8% consensus
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$52.73
Milwaukee Brewers home
vs New York Mets · 6:10 PM
Prob
66.7%
Edge
+8.3%
Odds
-140
Book
Stake
$50.02
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 8:07 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+7.5%
+6.4% consensus
Odds
+108
Book
Stake
$36.03
Miami Marlins away
vs Houston Astros · 12:10 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+7.5%
+6.0% consensus
Odds
+108
Book
Stake
$36.03
Pittsburgh Pirates away
vs New York Yankees · 5:05 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.0%
Odds
+152
Book
Stake
$24.69
Washington Nationals away
vs Colorado Rockies · 7:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+6.0%
+5.3% consensus
Odds
-137
Book
Stake
$35.69
Kansas City Royals home
vs San Francisco Giants · 6:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+5.8%
+4.9% consensus
Odds
+106
Book
Stake
$28.26
San Diego Padres away
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:15 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.3%
+3.0% consensus
Odds
+104
Book
Stake
$20.99
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Boston Red Sox · 5:35 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.1%
+1.3% consensus
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$13.43
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Seattle Mariners · 7:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.9%
+2.4% consensus
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$12.68
Texas Rangers home
vs Chicago White Sox · 12:05 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.4%
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$12.67
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 11:07 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.3%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$11.83
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 10:40 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+1.4%
Odds
-118
Book
Stake
$7.80
Updated 2:20 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice