Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, Apr 11

Season: 62-69 (47.3%) · ROI: +9.1%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Texas Rangers away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 1:10 AM
Prob
64.4%
Edge
+25.6%
Odds
+158
Book
Stake
$104.51
Miami Marlins away
vs Detroit Tigers · 5:10 PM
Prob
59.9%
Edge
+15.0%
+14.1% consensus
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$68.06
New York Mets home
vs Athletics · 8:10 PM
Prob
75.7%
Edge
+14.5%
+14.0% consensus
Odds
-158
Book
Stake
$93.39
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:15 PM
Prob
61.9%
Edge
+12.2%
+11.6% consensus
Odds
+101
Book
Stake
$60.54
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 5:05 PM
Prob
58.6%
Edge
+12.1%
+11.4% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$56.41
Houston Astros away
vs Seattle Mariners · 1:40 AM
Prob
54.5%
Edge
+10.7%
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$47.47
Updated 3:40 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice