Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Mon, Jun 22

Season: 437-513 (46.0%) · ROI: -4.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+9.4%
+8.3% consensus
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$42.04
Kansas City Royals away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.6%
+6.9% consensus
Odds
+163
Book
Stake
$30.73
Texas Rangers away
vs Miami Marlins · 10:40 PM
Prob
52.6%
Edge
+6.1%
+5.5% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$28.60
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs Minnesota Twins · 11:40 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+3.8%
Odds
-150
Book
Stake
$23.94
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:38 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+3.0%
+2.1% consensus
Odds
-155
Book
Stake
$19.42
Atlanta Braves away
vs San Diego Padres · 2:10 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.3%
+1.6% consensus
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$11.83
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Chicago White Sox · 11:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+0.5%
+1.0% consensus
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$2.49
Updated 8:00 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice