Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Thu, Apr 16

Season: 77-101 (43.3%) · ROI: -1.8%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Milwaukee Brewers home
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 5:40 PM
Prob
72.4%
Edge
+19.3%
+18.8% consensus
Odds
-113
Book
Stake
$102.76
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Chicago White Sox · 6:10 PM
Prob
67.7%
Edge
+12.1%
+10.7% consensus
Odds
-125
Book
Stake
$68.03
Los Angeles Angels away
vs New York Yankees · 5:35 PM
Prob
39.7%
Edge
+11.3%
+10.6% consensus
Odds
+252
Book
Stake
$39.43
Texas Rangers away
vs Athletics · 7:05 PM
Prob
62.7%
Edge
+10.3%
+9.3% consensus
Odds
-110
Book
Stake
$54.07
Cleveland Guardians home
vs Baltimore Orioles · 10:10 PM
Prob
62.2%
Edge
+6.6%
Odds
-125
Book
Stake
$37.09
Updated 5:30 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice