Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, Apr 10

Season: 58-63 (47.9%) · ROI: +11.7%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Miami Marlins away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
60.5%
Edge
+16.5%
+15.6% consensus
Odds
+127
Book
Stake
$73.67
Chicago White Sox away
vs Kansas City Royals · 11:40 PM
Prob
51.4%
Edge
+12.2%
+11.5% consensus
Odds
+155
Book
Stake
$50.11
Colorado Rockies away
vs San Diego Padres · 1:40 AM
Prob
48.7%
Edge
+10.7%
+9.7% consensus
Odds
+163
Book
Stake
$43.03
Houston Astros away
vs Seattle Mariners · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.0%
Edge
+8.9%
+7.1% consensus
Odds
+127
Book
Stake
$39.85
Texas Rangers away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
41.8%
Edge
+8.8%
+8.1% consensus
Odds
+203
Book
Stake
$32.94
Updated 4:30 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice