Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Mon, Apr 6

Season: 43-51 (45.7%) · ROI: +9.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Miami Marlins · 10:40 PM
Prob
58.4%
Edge
+14.1%
+12.1% consensus
Odds
+126
Book
Pinnacle
Stake
$63.33
San Diego Padres away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.6%
Edge
+11.1%
+10.0% consensus
Odds
+135
Book
Pinnacle
Stake
$48.16
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Washington Nationals · 10:45 PM
Prob
61.8%
Edge
+9.8%
+8.5% consensus
Odds
-107
Book
BetOnline.ag
Stake
$52.11
Colorado Rockies home
vs Houston Astros · 12:40 AM
Prob
50.9%
Edge
+8.5%
+7.9% consensus
Odds
+138
Book
Bally Bet
Stake
$38.13
Los Angeles Angels home
vs Atlanta Braves · 1:38 AM
Prob
48.1%
Edge
+8.4%
+7.8% consensus
Odds
+156
Book
Kalshi
Stake
$37.04
San Francisco Giants home
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 1:45 AM
Prob
50.1%
Edge
+7.4%
+6.7% consensus
Odds
+134
Book
Pinnacle
Stake
$32.20
Updated 11:45 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice