Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Jun 14

Season: 406-463 (46.7%) · ROI: -3.0%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 8:07 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+10.3%
+9.3% consensus
Odds
-115
Book
Stake
$55.59
Atlanta Braves away
vs New York Mets · 5:40 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+9.0%
+7.8% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$42.29
San Diego Padres away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 5:35 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.0%
Odds
+116
Book
Stake
$32.60
Chicago Cubs away
vs San Francisco Giants · 7:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.0%
+6.5% consensus
Odds
+116
Book
Stake
$32.60
Seattle Mariners away
vs Washington Nationals · 5:35 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+6.9%
Odds
-132
Book
Stake
$40.21
Houston Astros away
vs Kansas City Royals · 6:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+6.8%
+5.6% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$33.09
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Minnesota Twins · 6:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+4.8%
+4.3% consensus
Odds
-103
Book
Stake
$24.47
Cincinnati Reds home
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 5:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+4.6%
+3.5% consensus
Odds
+101
Book
Stake
$22.93
Texas Rangers away
vs Boston Red Sox · 11:20 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.6% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Updated 6:35 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice