Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, Jul 10

Season: 543-617 (46.8%) · ROI: -3.1%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+9.9%
+9.3% consensus
Odds
+180
Book
Stake
$38.60
St. Louis Cardinals home
vs Atlanta Braves · 12:15 AM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+4.9%
Odds
+139
Book
Stake
$20.89
Washington Nationals home
vs New York Yankees · 10:45 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+4.1%
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$18.05
Colorado Rockies away
vs San Francisco Giants · 2:15 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.1%
+2.3% consensus
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$13.43
Chicago White Sox home
vs Athletics · 8:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+3.1%
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$16.09
Chicago Cubs away
vs Cincinnati Reds · 11:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+1.6%
+1.0% consensus
Odds
-117
Book
Stake
$8.91
Updated 2:40 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice