Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Tue, Apr 14

Season: 72-87 (45.3%) · ROI: +4.0%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Kansas City Royals away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
66.1%
Edge
+17.8%
+16.5% consensus
Odds
+107
Book
Stake
$86.24
Colorado Rockies away
vs Houston Astros · 12:10 AM
Prob
55.0%
Edge
+15.5%
+14.8% consensus
Odds
+153
Book
Stake
$64.05
Seattle Mariners away
vs San Diego Padres · 1:40 AM
Prob
69.9%
Edge
+15.1%
Odds
-121
Book
Stake
$83.53
Boston Red Sox away
vs Minnesota Twins · 11:40 PM
Prob
70.8%
Edge
+13.6%
+13.1% consensus
Odds
-134
Book
Stake
$79.30
San Francisco Giants away
vs Cincinnati Reds · 10:40 PM
Prob
62.9%
Edge
+11.9%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$60.64
Cleveland Guardians away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
64.5%
Edge
+9.8%
+8.6% consensus
Odds
-121
Book
Stake
$53.92
New York Mets away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+9.3%
+8.6% consensus
Odds
+175
Book
Stake
$36.40
New York Yankees home
vs Los Angeles Angels · 11:05 PM
Prob
70.4%
Edge
+6.7%
Odds
-176
Book
Stake
$45.97
Updated 9:40 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice