Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, Jul 8

Season: 525-602 (46.6%) · ROI: -3.4%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs San Francisco Giants · 7:45 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+10.3%
+9.5% consensus
Odds
-115
Book
Stake
$55.59
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs San Diego Padres · 2:10 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+9.8%
+8.2% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$43.44
Chicago Cubs away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 10:35 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+7.9%
+7.4% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$37.90
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Minnesota Twins · 11:40 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+7.9%
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$37.90
Colorado Rockies away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
39.1%
Edge
+6.8%
+5.7% consensus
Odds
+210
Book
Stake
$25.10
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+5.0%
Odds
-143
Book
Stake
$30.27
Washington Nationals home
vs Houston Astros · 10:45 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+3.7%
+3.2% consensus
Odds
-134
Book
Stake
$21.50
Los Angeles Angels away
vs Texas Rangers · 12:05 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.1%
+2.3% consensus
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$13.43
Chicago White Sox home
vs Boston Red Sox · 11:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+1.1%
Odds
-114
Book
Stake
$5.83
Updated 2:50 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice