Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Thu, Jun 18

Season: 420-489 (46.2%) · ROI: -3.9%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Seattle Mariners · 8:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+10.2%
+9.7% consensus
Odds
+132
Book
Stake
$44.80
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 6:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+8.3%
Odds
+122
Book
Stake
$37.55
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Boston Red Sox · 5:35 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+6.8%
+6.0% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$33.09
Texas Rangers home
vs Minnesota Twins · 6:35 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+6.7%
+5.7% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$32.17
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Kansas City Royals · 11:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
+3.8% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
Chicago White Sox away
vs New York Yankees · 11:05 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.1%
+2.3% consensus
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$13.43
Updated 4:55 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice