Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Mon, Jun 15

Season: 410-470 (46.6%) · ROI: -3.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Miami Marlins away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+9.9%
+9.2% consensus
Odds
+180
Book
Stake
$38.60
San Diego Padres away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+9.4%
+8.6% consensus
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$42.04
Houston Astros home
vs Detroit Tigers · 12:10 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+6.9%
Odds
-132
Book
Stake
$39.92
Minnesota Twins away
vs Texas Rangers · 12:05 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.8%
+4.3% consensus
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$20.38
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.3%
+3.4% consensus
Odds
+142
Book
Stake
$18.40
Kansas City Royals away
vs Washington Nationals · 10:45 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+0.2%
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$0.85
Updated 12:30 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice