Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Thu, Jun 18

Season: 423-493 (46.2%) · ROI: -3.9%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
San Diego Padres away
vs Texas Rangers · 12:05 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+10.9%
Odds
+136
Book
Stake
$47.40
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.9%
+6.9% consensus
Odds
+165
Book
Stake
$31.74
Pittsburgh Pirates away
vs Colorado Rockies · 12:40 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+7.3%
+6.4% consensus
Odds
-130
Book
Stake
$42.02
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Houston Astros · 12:10 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+6.8%
+6.3% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$33.09
Minnesota Twins away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 1:45 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.7%
+4.2% consensus
Odds
+144
Book
Stake
$19.72
Washington Nationals away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
Updated 3:15 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice