Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, May 27

Season: 323-360 (47.3%) · ROI: -1.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Miami Marlins away
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 5:07 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+10.9%
+9.7% consensus
Odds
+136
Book
Stake
$47.40
Seattle Mariners away
vs Athletics · 7:05 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+9.1%
Odds
-121
Book
Stake
$50.16
Detroit Tigers home
vs Los Angeles Angels · 10:40 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+8.1%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$42.98
Cincinnati Reds away
vs New York Mets · 11:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+7.0%
+6.0% consensus
Odds
+106
Book
Stake
$34.09
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 5:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.9%
+5.0% consensus
Odds
+158
Book
Stake
$28.09
Atlanta Braves away
vs Boston Red Sox · 10:45 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+5.6%
+4.6% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$27.80
Chicago Cubs away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 10:35 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+2.7%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$14.47
Chicago White Sox home
vs Minnesota Twins · 11:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.4%
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$12.67
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs San Francisco Giants · 7:45 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+2.3%
Odds
-114
Book
Stake
$12.25
Updated 6:55 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice