Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, May 15

Season: 260-300 (46.4%) · ROI: -2.4%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Houston Astros home
vs Texas Rangers · 11:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+10.5%
+9.3% consensus
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$46.76
Los Angeles Angels home
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 1:38 AM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+9.0%
+8.1% consensus
Odds
+165
Book
Stake
$35.99
Pittsburgh Pirates home
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 8:05 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+7.3%
+6.0% consensus
Odds
+154
Book
Stake
$30.22
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:38 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+6.9%
+5.9% consensus
Odds
-132
Book
Stake
$40.21
San Diego Padres away
vs Seattle Mariners · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.8%
+6.3% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$31.73
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Cleveland Guardians · 10:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+5.6%
Odds
+150
Book
Stake
$23.50
Kansas City Royals away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 6:15 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
+3.0% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Washington Nationals · 8:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+1.4%
+0.8% consensus
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$7.16
Updated 3:30 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice