Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Mon, Jun 15

Season: 411-474 (46.4%) · ROI: -3.7%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Cincinnati Reds home
vs New York Mets · 11:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+6.3%
+5.8% consensus
Odds
+108
Book
Stake
$30.25
Miami Marlins away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+5.0%
Odds
+146
Book
Stake
$21.02
Houston Astros home
vs Detroit Tigers · 12:10 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+4.6%
+4.1% consensus
Odds
-145
Book
Stake
$28.15
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 11:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.2%
+1.4% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$9.56
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Seattle Mariners · 1:40 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.2%
+1.6% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$9.56
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.2%
+1.5% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$9.56
Arizona Diamondbacks home
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:40 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.0%
+0.9% consensus
Odds
-110
Book
Stake
$10.39
Updated 3:35 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice