Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, Apr 11

Season: 62-71 (46.6%) · ROI: +7.8%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Texas Rangers away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 1:10 AM
Prob
75.3%
Edge
+36.8%
+36.2% consensus
Odds
+160
Book
Stake
$149.58
New York Mets home
vs Athletics · 8:10 PM
Prob
80.3%
Edge
+18.8%
+18.1% consensus
Odds
-160
Book
Stake
$122.14
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:15 PM
Prob
65.9%
Edge
+17.1%
+16.0% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$83.61
Houston Astros away
vs Seattle Mariners · 1:40 AM
Prob
54.5%
Edge
+10.7%
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$47.47
Minnesota Twins away
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 7:07 PM
Prob
54.7%
Edge
+5.9%
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$28.94
Updated 9:35 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice