Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Thu, Apr 9

Season: 57-62 (47.9%) · ROI: +11.9%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs New York Mets · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.2%
Edge
+14.1%
Odds
+160
Book
FanDuel
Stake
$59.96
Texas Rangers away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
47.5%
Edge
+13.5%
+12.8% consensus
Odds
+212
Book
Kalshi
Stake
$56.77
Miami Marlins away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.9%
Edge
+11.2%
+10.5% consensus
Odds
+138
Book
Kalshi
Stake
$51.45
Washington Nationals away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 11:40 PM
Prob
45.9%
Edge
+8.3%
+7.6% consensus
Odds
+171
Book
BetOnline.ag
Stake
$35.50
St. Louis Cardinals home
vs Boston Red Sox · 12:15 AM
Prob
52.1%
Edge
+7.6%
+7.1% consensus
Odds
+129
Book
BetOnline.ag
Stake
$37.24
Colorado Rockies away
vs San Diego Padres · 1:40 AM
Prob
46.1%
Edge
+7.5%
Odds
+170
Book
Kalshi
Stake
$35.91
Updated 11:10 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice