Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, Jun 24

Season: 447-523 (46.1%) · ROI: -3.9%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Kansas City Royals away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+8.5%
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$38.33
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 8:07 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+7.9%
+7.0% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$37.90
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Washington Nationals · 10:45 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+6.9%
Odds
-132
Book
Stake
$40.21
Miami Marlins home
vs Texas Rangers · 4:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+6.7%
+5.3% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$32.17
Seattle Mariners away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+5.6%
+4.8% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$27.80
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Cincinnati Reds · 11:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+5.0%
Odds
-143
Book
Stake
$30.27
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.8%
+3.3% consensus
Odds
+102
Book
Stake
$18.79
Houston Astros away
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 11:07 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.1%
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$13.43
Boston Red Sox away
vs Colorado Rockies · 7:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+1.7%
+0.8% consensus
Odds
-164
Book
Stake
$11.28
Updated 1:05 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice