Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, May 22

Season: 294-331 (47.0%) · ROI: -1.4%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Houston Astros away
vs Chicago Cubs · 6:20 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+10.2%
+8.6% consensus
Odds
+132
Book
Stake
$44.80
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs New York Yankees · 11:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+9.8%
+9.0% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$43.44
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.9%
+6.0% consensus
Odds
+158
Book
Stake
$28.09
Athletics away
vs San Diego Padres · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.5%
Odds
+109
Book
Stake
$26.14
Pittsburgh Pirates away
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 11:07 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.0%
+3.5% consensus
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$17.03
Boston Red Sox home
vs Minnesota Twins · 11:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+3.9%
Odds
-149
Book
Stake
$24.53
San Francisco Giants home
vs Chicago White Sox · 2:15 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+3.4%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$17.24
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 11:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.6%
+1.1% consensus
Odds
-103
Book
Stake
$13.00
New York Mets away
vs Miami Marlins · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.3%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$11.83
Texas Rangers away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:38 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+2.0%
+1.4% consensus
Odds
-162
Book
Stake
$13.09
Updated 6:50 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice