Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, Jun 24

Season: 447-523 (46.1%) · ROI: -3.9%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Kansas City Royals away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+9.4%
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$42.04
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 8:07 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+7.9%
+7.0% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$37.90
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Washington Nationals · 10:45 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+7.3%
+6.6% consensus
Odds
-130
Book
Stake
$42.02
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Cincinnati Reds · 11:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+7.3%
+6.1% consensus
Odds
-130
Book
Stake
$42.02
Seattle Mariners away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+5.6%
+5.1% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$27.80
Chicago Cubs away
vs New York Mets · 5:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.8%
+2.9% consensus
Odds
+102
Book
Stake
$18.79
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.5%
Odds
+101
Book
Stake
$17.66
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Chicago White Sox · 6:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+2.7%
+1.9% consensus
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$14.47
Houston Astros away
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 11:07 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.2%
+0.8% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$9.56
Athletics away
vs San Francisco Giants · 1:45 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+2.1%
+1.6% consensus
Odds
-115
Book
Stake
$11.13
Updated 4:05 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice