Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Mon, Jun 29

Season: 477-553 (46.3%) · ROI: -3.7%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 11:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.4%
+6.8% consensus
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$34.31
Chicago White Sox away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 10:35 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.0%
+6.3% consensus
Odds
+116
Book
Stake
$32.60
Houston Astros home
vs Minnesota Twins · 12:10 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+4.4%
+3.9% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$21.80
Pittsburgh Pirates away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 10:40 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+4.3%
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$22.24
Miami Marlins away
vs Colorado Rockies · 12:40 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+4.2%
+3.0% consensus
Odds
-148
Book
Stake
$25.75
San Diego Padres away
vs Chicago Cubs · 12:05 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.0%
+3.5% consensus
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$17.03
Houston Astros home
vs Minnesota Twins · 12:10 AM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+3.7%
+3.0% consensus
Odds
-134
Book
Stake
$21.50
Texas Rangers away
vs Cleveland Guardians · 11:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.1%
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$13.43
San Diego Padres away
vs Chicago Cubs · 12:05 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.1%
+2.1% consensus
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$13.43
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs Athletics · 1:40 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+1.4%
Odds
-118
Book
Stake
$7.80
Updated 12:45 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice