Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, Apr 22

Season: 104-130 (44.4%) · ROI: -0.9%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Kansas City Royals home
vs Baltimore Orioles · 6:10 PM
Prob
74.1%
Edge
+18.4%
+17.5% consensus
Odds
-126
Book
Stake
$103.78
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Chicago Cubs · 11:40 PM
Prob
55.9%
Edge
+17.2%
+16.4% consensus
Odds
+159
Book
Stake
$70.25
Los Angeles Angels home
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 7:07 PM
Prob
74.3%
Edge
+16.8%
+14.3% consensus
Odds
-135
Book
Stake
$98.95
Atlanta Braves away
vs Washington Nationals · 10:45 PM
Prob
70.5%
Edge
+10.6%
+10.0% consensus
Odds
-150
Book
Stake
$65.94
Colorado Rockies home
vs San Diego Padres · 12:40 AM
Prob
51.2%
Edge
+9.2%
+8.5% consensus
Odds
+138
Book
Stake
$39.81
Detroit Tigers home
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 10:40 PM
Prob
64.2%
Edge
+7.7%
+7.2% consensus
Odds
-130
Book
Stake
$44.44
Updated 8:10 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice