Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, Apr 22

Season: 104-131 (44.3%) · ROI: -1.6%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Chicago Cubs · 11:40 PM
Prob
56.9%
Edge
+18.1%
+17.3% consensus
Odds
+158
Book
Stake
$73.97
Los Angeles Angels home
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 7:07 PM
Prob
74.6%
Edge
+17.2%
+14.6% consensus
Odds
-135
Book
Stake
$100.89
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs San Francisco Giants · 1:45 AM
Prob
82.0%
Edge
+14.3%
Odds
-209
Book
Stake
$110.80
Colorado Rockies home
vs San Diego Padres · 12:40 AM
Prob
54.2%
Edge
+12.2%
+11.7% consensus
Odds
+138
Book
Stake
$52.70
Atlanta Braves away
vs Washington Nationals · 10:45 PM
Prob
70.5%
Edge
+10.6%
+9.3% consensus
Odds
-150
Book
Stake
$65.94
Detroit Tigers home
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 10:40 PM
Prob
64.2%
Edge
+7.7%
Odds
-130
Book
Stake
$44.44
Updated 10:00 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice