Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Jun 28

Season: 471-545 (46.4%) · ROI: -3.8%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Seattle Mariners away
vs Cleveland Guardians · 5:40 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+6.8%
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$33.09
Miami Marlins away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 6:15 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+6.8%
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$33.09
San Francisco Giants home
vs Atlanta Braves · 8:05 PM
Prob
44.4%
Edge
+5.2%
+2.8% consensus
Odds
+155
Book
Stake
$21.49
New York Mets home
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 5:40 PM
Prob
44.4%
Edge
+2.8%
+1.7% consensus
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$11.89
Minnesota Twins home
vs Colorado Rockies · 6:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+1.7%
Odds
-164
Book
Stake
$10.95
Updated 6:05 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice