Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, Jul 17

Season: 560-629 (47.1%) · ROI: -3.0%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Texas Rangers away
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:15 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+9.9%
+9.2% consensus
Odds
+180
Book
Stake
$38.60
Detroit Tigers away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:38 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+3.6%
+2.7% consensus
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$18.91
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Colorado Rockies · 12:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.4% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Washington Nationals away
vs Athletics · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
+1.3% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
San Francisco Giants away
vs Seattle Mariners · 2:10 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.9%
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$12.68
Miami Marlins away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 11:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.2%
+1.6% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$9.56
Houston Astros home
vs Baltimore Orioles · 12:10 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.0%
+1.4% consensus
Odds
-110
Book
Stake
$10.39
Updated 12:45 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice