Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, Jul 3

Season: 502-576 (46.6%) · ROI: -3.2%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Atlanta Braves home
vs New York Mets · 11:15 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+10.1%
+9.0% consensus
Odds
-116
Book
Stake
$54.41
Minnesota Twins away
vs New York Yankees · 11:05 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.0%
Odds
+152
Book
Stake
$24.69
Miami Marlins away
vs Athletics · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.7%
+5.0% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$27.11
Cincinnati Reds home
vs Baltimore Orioles · 11:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+5.6%
+5.1% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$27.23
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 1:40 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+2.3%
Odds
-160
Book
Stake
$14.89
Updated 4:50 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice