Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Tue, Jul 21

Season: 584-659 (47.0%) · ROI: -3.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.8%
+6.1% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$31.73
Washington Nationals away
vs Colorado Rockies · 12:40 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+3.6%
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$18.91
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:38 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+3.6%
+2.9% consensus
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$18.91
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 11:07 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+3.2%
+2.6% consensus
Odds
-110
Book
Stake
$16.69
Kansas City Royals home
vs San Francisco Giants · 11:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+3.1%
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$16.09
Pittsburgh Pirates away
vs New York Yankees · 11:05 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.2%
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$9.56
Seattle Mariners home
vs Cincinnati Reds · 1:40 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+1.5%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$8.11
Chicago Cubs home
vs Detroit Tigers · 12:05 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+0.4%
Odds
-117
Book
Stake
$2.40
Updated 12:50 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice