Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Tue, Jun 23

Season: 442-517 (46.1%) · ROI: -4.2%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
New York Yankees away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+11.4%
+10.6% consensus
Odds
-110
Book
Stake
$60.11
Kansas City Royals away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.9%
Odds
+158
Book
Stake
$28.09
Chicago Cubs away
vs New York Mets · 11:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+5.6%
+5.0% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$27.80
Colorado Rockies home
vs Boston Red Sox · 12:40 AM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+5.5%
+4.7% consensus
Odds
+143
Book
Stake
$23.57
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:38 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+5.5%
+5.0% consensus
Odds
-140
Book
Stake
$32.98
Texas Rangers away
vs Miami Marlins · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.9%
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$12.68
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Chicago White Sox · 11:40 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+2.7%
+1.8% consensus
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$14.47
St. Louis Cardinals home
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 11:45 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.2%
+1.5% consensus
Odds
-109
Book
Stake
$11.53
Updated 5:10 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice