Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, Jul 11

Season: 550-623 (46.9%) · ROI: -3.2%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing

Houston Astros away

vs Texas Rangers · 11:05 PM

Prob

53.3%

Edge

+3.5%

Odds

+101

Book

Stake

$17.66

St. Louis Cardinals home

vs Atlanta Braves · 11:15 PM

Prob

54.4%

Edge

+3.1%

+2.0% consensus

Odds

-105

Book

Stake

$16.09

San Diego Padres home

vs Toronto Blue Jays · 12:40 AM

Prob

54.4%

Edge

+1.5%

+2.1% consensus

Odds

-112

Book

Stake

$8.11

Updated 11:15 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice